Brasil: Observações adicionais sobre politica exterior
http://213.251.145.96/cable/2006/11/06BRASILIA2293.html
Reference ID
06BRASILIA2293
Created
2006-11-01 17:05
Released
2010-12-08 00:12
Classification
SECRET//NOFORN
Origin
Embassy Brasilia
VZCZCXRO6643
OO RUEHRG
DE RUEHBR #2293/01 3051751
ZNY SSSSS ZZH
O 011751Z NOV 06
FM AMEMBASSY BRASILIA
TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC IMMEDIATE 7162
INFO RUEHAC/AMEMBASSY ASUNCION PRIORITY 5761
RUEHBO/AMEMBASSY BOGOTA PRIORITY 3987
RUEHBU/AMEMBASSY BUENOS AIRES PRIORITY 4384
RUEHCV/AMEMBASSY CARACAS PRIORITY 3488
RUEHGT/AMEMBASSY GUATEMALA PRIORITY 0311
RUEHLP/AMEMBASSY LA PAZ PRIORITY 4961
RUEHPE/AMEMBASSY LIMA PRIORITY 3228
RUEHMN/AMEMBASSY MONTEVIDEO PRIORITY 6570
RUEHOT/AMEMBASSY OTTAWA PRIORITY 1003
RUEHPU/AMEMBASSY PORT AU PRINCE PRIORITY 0158
RUEHQT/AMEMBASSY QUITO PRIORITY 2020
RUEHSG/AMEMBASSY SANTIAGO PRIORITY 5900
RUEHRG/AMCONSUL RECIFE PRIORITY 5757
RUEHRI/AMCONSUL RIO DE JANEIRO PRIORITY 3227
RUEHSO/AMCONSUL SAO PAULO PRIORITY 8490
RUEKJCS/SECDEF WASHDC PRIORITY
RHEHNSC/NSC WASHDC PRIORITY
RUMIAAA/USCINCSO MIAMI FL PRIORITY
RUEATRS/DEPT OF TREASURY WASHINGTON DC PRIORITY
RUEAIIA/CIA WASHDC PRIORITY
S E C R E T SECTION 01 OF 02 BRASILIA 002293
SIPDIS
NOFORN
SIPDIS
E.O. 12958: DECL: 05/25/2016
TAGS: PREL BR
SUBJECT: BRAZIL: MORE OBSERVATIONS ON FOREIGN POLICY IN LULA'S SECOND TERM
REF: BRASILIA 2245
Classified By: POLITICAL COUNSELOR DENNIS HEARNE. REASONS: 1.4 (B)(D).
Â1. (C) Introduction. Reftel discussed Mission,s views that, despite interesting media reports that President Lula da Silva,s foreign policy in a second term could shift toward closer ties with the U.S., we could not see yet concrete evidence of such a trend. We remain circumspect on this question. At the same time, candid and encouraging conversations with top GOB officials on the day after Lula,s strong victory at the polls left Ambassador and emboffs wondering about the possibility that some change may be brewing. We report what we heard below, with the caveat that we remain in a cautious "wait and see mode" for the time being. End introduction.
Â2. (C) Ambassador and PolCouns visited the Planalto Palace on 30 October, and found a Presidency in an open mood of jubilant celebration. A steady column of VIPs streamed through for audiences with re-elected President Lula. A relieved and buoyant Gilberto Carvalho, Chief of Lula,s Personal Staff, received Ambassador and poloff for a courtesy call, which turned into a compelling conversation about the direction of policy in Lula,s second term. Carvalho, who is perhaps Lula,s closest long-time advisor, made the following comments:
--On foreign policy, Carvalho said that Lula,s first term had seen a broad opening of Brazil to new alliances and diplomatic arrangements worldwide. Now, with this base established, the second Lula government will re-focus priority on "quality relationships with traditional partners." Specifically, for Brazil to grow with new investment, the GOB will need to engage more intensively with the United States, Carvalho stressed.
--Ambassador welcomed this observation, but said he remained concerned when he heard certain Brazilian officials speak of the need to "counterbalance" against the U.S., and opined that two democracies should be able to debate and work together directly, without such contrivances. Carvalho was emphatic in agreeing, said there will be no further discussion of counterbalances, and asked for the Ambassador,s understanding if rhetoric during the election campaign had occasionally seemed critical of the U.S. He again assured Ambassador that the second Lula government wants investment and growth, and sees relations with the U.S. as central to this.
--At the conclusion of the meeting, Carvalho provided his private telephone numbers to Ambassador and PolCouns and encouraged them to contact him directly at any time if there was problematic development in relations between the two governments, of if they wished to present an issue directly to President Lula. Carvalho said he would welcome this direct channel with the Ambassador.
Â3. (S/NF) In a separate meeting at Planalto with General Jorge Armando Felix, Lula,s Minister for Institutional Security, Ambassador, PolCouns and Regional Affairs Chief raised the subject of intensified U.S.-Brazil exchanges and cooperation in intelligence and security. Ambassador noted that President Lula, in a brief aside at the UNGA in New York, had encouraged continued engagement with General Felix, presumably on such issues. General Felix then announced that he had, subsequent to an earlier meeting with Ambassador, commissioned a formal paper outlining specific areas for consultation and collaboration at the policy level with the USG in the intelligence field. Ambassador and Felix agreed that the GOB could also specify in the paper specific equipment or training they might require, and decided to plan together for a high-level bilateral intelligence meeting early in 2007 in Brasilia.
Â4. (C) In an earlier conversation on the same day, Development and Industry Minister Luiz Furlan told Ambassador that Lula was pressing him to stay on in a second government, and Furlan appeared to be considering this option. Furlan, a moderate with a business background who has long pressed within Lula,s cabinet for closer cooperation with the United States, seemed to be of the view that Lula,s second term priorities would be shifting in the direction of closer engagement with the U.S. and other developed nations.
Â5. (C) Comment. Our senior interlocutors were in high spirits yesterday, with a kind word for the world, including the U.S. But without major changes in the foreign ministry's senior staffing and orientation, we wonder about the viability of a tilt toward the U.S. and developing world, and away from the south-south priorities of the first Lula term. Nonetheless, it is intriguing that we have received such a steady stream of strong signals from senior Lula advisors on the day after his victory. Watch this space.
Sobel
http://213.251.145.96/cable/2006/11/06BRASILIA2293.html
Reference ID
06BRASILIA2293
Created
2006-11-01 17:05
Released
2010-12-08 00:12
Classification
SECRET//NOFORN
Origin
Embassy Brasilia
VZCZCXRO6643
OO RUEHRG
DE RUEHBR #2293/01 3051751
ZNY SSSSS ZZH
O 011751Z NOV 06
FM AMEMBASSY BRASILIA
TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC IMMEDIATE 7162
INFO RUEHAC/AMEMBASSY ASUNCION PRIORITY 5761
RUEHBO/AMEMBASSY BOGOTA PRIORITY 3987
RUEHBU/AMEMBASSY BUENOS AIRES PRIORITY 4384
RUEHCV/AMEMBASSY CARACAS PRIORITY 3488
RUEHGT/AMEMBASSY GUATEMALA PRIORITY 0311
RUEHLP/AMEMBASSY LA PAZ PRIORITY 4961
RUEHPE/AMEMBASSY LIMA PRIORITY 3228
RUEHMN/AMEMBASSY MONTEVIDEO PRIORITY 6570
RUEHOT/AMEMBASSY OTTAWA PRIORITY 1003
RUEHPU/AMEMBASSY PORT AU PRINCE PRIORITY 0158
RUEHQT/AMEMBASSY QUITO PRIORITY 2020
RUEHSG/AMEMBASSY SANTIAGO PRIORITY 5900
RUEHRG/AMCONSUL RECIFE PRIORITY 5757
RUEHRI/AMCONSUL RIO DE JANEIRO PRIORITY 3227
RUEHSO/AMCONSUL SAO PAULO PRIORITY 8490
RUEKJCS/SECDEF WASHDC PRIORITY
RHEHNSC/NSC WASHDC PRIORITY
RUMIAAA/USCINCSO MIAMI FL PRIORITY
RUEATRS/DEPT OF TREASURY WASHINGTON DC PRIORITY
RUEAIIA/CIA WASHDC PRIORITY
S E C R E T SECTION 01 OF 02 BRASILIA 002293
SIPDIS
NOFORN
SIPDIS
E.O. 12958: DECL: 05/25/2016
TAGS: PREL BR
SUBJECT: BRAZIL: MORE OBSERVATIONS ON FOREIGN POLICY IN LULA'S SECOND TERM
REF: BRASILIA 2245
Classified By: POLITICAL COUNSELOR DENNIS HEARNE. REASONS: 1.4 (B)(D).
Â1. (C) Introduction. Reftel discussed Mission,s views that, despite interesting media reports that President Lula da Silva,s foreign policy in a second term could shift toward closer ties with the U.S., we could not see yet concrete evidence of such a trend. We remain circumspect on this question. At the same time, candid and encouraging conversations with top GOB officials on the day after Lula,s strong victory at the polls left Ambassador and emboffs wondering about the possibility that some change may be brewing. We report what we heard below, with the caveat that we remain in a cautious "wait and see mode" for the time being. End introduction.
Â2. (C) Ambassador and PolCouns visited the Planalto Palace on 30 October, and found a Presidency in an open mood of jubilant celebration. A steady column of VIPs streamed through for audiences with re-elected President Lula. A relieved and buoyant Gilberto Carvalho, Chief of Lula,s Personal Staff, received Ambassador and poloff for a courtesy call, which turned into a compelling conversation about the direction of policy in Lula,s second term. Carvalho, who is perhaps Lula,s closest long-time advisor, made the following comments:
--On foreign policy, Carvalho said that Lula,s first term had seen a broad opening of Brazil to new alliances and diplomatic arrangements worldwide. Now, with this base established, the second Lula government will re-focus priority on "quality relationships with traditional partners." Specifically, for Brazil to grow with new investment, the GOB will need to engage more intensively with the United States, Carvalho stressed.
--Ambassador welcomed this observation, but said he remained concerned when he heard certain Brazilian officials speak of the need to "counterbalance" against the U.S., and opined that two democracies should be able to debate and work together directly, without such contrivances. Carvalho was emphatic in agreeing, said there will be no further discussion of counterbalances, and asked for the Ambassador,s understanding if rhetoric during the election campaign had occasionally seemed critical of the U.S. He again assured Ambassador that the second Lula government wants investment and growth, and sees relations with the U.S. as central to this.
--At the conclusion of the meeting, Carvalho provided his private telephone numbers to Ambassador and PolCouns and encouraged them to contact him directly at any time if there was problematic development in relations between the two governments, of if they wished to present an issue directly to President Lula. Carvalho said he would welcome this direct channel with the Ambassador.
Â3. (S/NF) In a separate meeting at Planalto with General Jorge Armando Felix, Lula,s Minister for Institutional Security, Ambassador, PolCouns and Regional Affairs Chief raised the subject of intensified U.S.-Brazil exchanges and cooperation in intelligence and security. Ambassador noted that President Lula, in a brief aside at the UNGA in New York, had encouraged continued engagement with General Felix, presumably on such issues. General Felix then announced that he had, subsequent to an earlier meeting with Ambassador, commissioned a formal paper outlining specific areas for consultation and collaboration at the policy level with the USG in the intelligence field. Ambassador and Felix agreed that the GOB could also specify in the paper specific equipment or training they might require, and decided to plan together for a high-level bilateral intelligence meeting early in 2007 in Brasilia.
Â4. (C) In an earlier conversation on the same day, Development and Industry Minister Luiz Furlan told Ambassador that Lula was pressing him to stay on in a second government, and Furlan appeared to be considering this option. Furlan, a moderate with a business background who has long pressed within Lula,s cabinet for closer cooperation with the United States, seemed to be of the view that Lula,s second term priorities would be shifting in the direction of closer engagement with the U.S. and other developed nations.
Â5. (C) Comment. Our senior interlocutors were in high spirits yesterday, with a kind word for the world, including the U.S. But without major changes in the foreign ministry's senior staffing and orientation, we wonder about the viability of a tilt toward the U.S. and developing world, and away from the south-south priorities of the first Lula term. Nonetheless, it is intriguing that we have received such a steady stream of strong signals from senior Lula advisors on the day after his victory. Watch this space.
Sobel
